Wednesday, February 5, 2025

Taiwan Ministry of National Defense Remains Silent on China’s Potential Military Drills Near Taiwan

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Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense Declines to Comment on China’s Possible Military Drills

The Ministry of National Defense (MND) of Taiwan has refrained from commenting on whether China plans to conduct military drills near Taiwan in the coming days, following speculations that Beijing might take such actions around the time of President Lai Ching-te’s return from his first overseas trip after assuming office. Taiwan officials have raised concerns that China could use the visit as an opportunity to demonstrate its power, but the MND has maintained silence on the specifics of any potential Chinese military activities.

Potential Timing of China’s Military Exercises

The uncertainty about China’s military intentions stems from reports indicating that Beijing may stage military drills in proximity to Taiwan “around or shortly after” President Lai’s return from his South Pacific tour, which includes visits to Taiwan’s three diplomatic allies in the region, as well as transit stops in Hawaii and Guam. Lai’s official trip is set to conclude on December 6.

Unnamed officials cited by Reuters have suggested that China could view Lai’s international engagement as a “pretext” to assert its control over Taiwan’s surrounding waters. The possible drills are seen as a means to emphasize China’s claim over the region and reassert its influence over what it deems to be its “sphere of influence” in the first island chain, which stretches from the Chinese coast to Taiwan.

Key DetailsDescription
President Lai’s Overseas TripLai’s trip concludes on Dec. 6 and includes visits to South Pacific nations and stops in Hawaii and Guam.
Potential China Military DrillsReports indicate China may conduct drills near Taiwan after Lai’s trip.
Reason for Possible DrillsChina may use Lai’s trip to assert influence and send a message about Taiwan’s strategic importance.
MND’s ResponseMND officials have declined to comment on the likelihood of drills or specifics of military activity.

China’s Possible Military Strategy: Rebranding Ongoing Exercises

According to anonymous Taiwan security officials, Beijing might use its “Joint Sword” military drills—which were held in May and October of this year—as a model. These regular exercises could be rebranded as “Joint Sword – 2024C” and moved closer to Taiwan, presenting them as new demonstrations of China’s military capabilities.

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The MND’s Intelligence Officer, Hu Chung-hua, at a news conference, confirmed that Taiwan’s military was closely monitoring the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) movements and conducting intelligence gathering in response to the situation. Hu emphasized that Taiwan’s Armed Forces were fully prepared, but reiterated that revealing intelligence assessments at this stage could compromise Taiwan’s intelligence-gathering operations.

MND Avoids Speculating on PLA Movements

During the press conference, Hu was asked if Taiwan had detected any unusual movements from the Chinese military, particularly regarding the Liaoning aircraft carrier, which has previously been involved in exercises near Taiwan’s eastern waters. In response, MND spokesperson Sun Li-fang chose not to comment on the presence of the Liaoning carrier near Taiwan’s east coast, only affirming that Taiwan’s military was resolute in its commitment to national security.

This response suggests that Taiwan’s defense officials are adopting a cautious approach to avoid escalating tensions while ensuring that the nation’s security forces remain vigilant.

Taiwan’s Strategic Defense Posture Amid Growing Tensions

Taiwan’s defense strategy continues to be shaped by the threat of Chinese military activities, which have escalated in recent years, particularly as Beijing intensifies its claims over Taiwan. The MND’s careful response to recent reports indicates a balancing act between keeping the public informed and protecting sensitive military intelligence.

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While Taiwan continues to monitor Chinese activities closely, its officials are reluctant to openly discuss military movements for fear of compromising the country’s security. Despite this, Taiwan’s military forces remain confident in their readiness to defend the island and its interests.

FAQs on China’s Potential Military Drills and Taiwan’s Response

1. Why is Taiwan concerned about China’s military drills near Taiwan?
Taiwan is concerned that China might use military exercises as a show of force to reinforce its territorial claims over Taiwan, particularly in light of President Lai’s recent diplomatic trip.

2. When does President Lai return from his overseas trip?
President Lai’s overseas trip, which includes visits to South Pacific countries and stops in Hawaii and Guam, concludes on December 6.

3. What kind of military drills might China conduct near Taiwan?
China could rebrand its regular military exercises, such as the “Joint Sword” drills, and move them closer to Taiwan, demonstrating military power and reasserting control over the region.

4. What has Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense said about the possibility of these drills?
The MND has declined to comment directly on the likelihood of military drills, stating that revealing such information could expose Taiwan’s intelligence-gathering operations.

5. What is Taiwan’s response to China’s increasing military presence?
Taiwan remains vigilant, with its Armed Forces closely monitoring Chinese movements. The country is committed to defending its sovereignty and upholding national security.


Conclusion

As China continues to escalate its military presence near Taiwan, particularly during sensitive diplomatic periods, the Ministry of National Defense’s cautious approach is critical to maintaining Taiwan’s defense readiness without compromising intelligence. The situation remains fluid, and Taiwan’s Armed Forces are prepared to respond to any potential threats posed by Chinese military actions in the region.

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